Last April day and first eight days of May will be decisive for Champions League 2018/2019 edition. There are just four teams left. Two of them are rather surprising and two of them were always favorites. We will see the combination of favorite and outsider in the final. Here is our prediction of semifinals series outcome.
We have to start with a look back on how successful (or poor) we were in the past.
Success rate: 87.5% [14 out of 16 teams] – read more about our Group Stage predictions here
Round of 16
Success rate: 62.5% [5 out of 8 teams] – read more about our Round of 16 predictions here
Success rate: 50.0% [2 out of 4 teams] – read more about our Quarterfinals predictions here
Overall success rate: 75.00% [21 out of 28 picks]
75% success rate is not bad at all. We could be satisfied, but frankly, we are not. The overall success rate is fine, but we are declining from round to round. Now we have three matches left to prove we can do better.
Actual Semifinals Predictions
TOTTENHAM – AJAX
Match days: 30th April and 8th May
Ajax beat Real and then Juventus. The scenario was much the same. Loss or draw at home and then straight win away. Surprising? Definitely. Can they repeat? I doubt it. This time Ajax cannot be placed easily to outsider position. Their chances with Tottenham are more-less equal. And there is the change of matches series. Ajax will start away in London. Tottenham is opening the new stadium in a really big way. They will be Harry Kane-less, but they already proved they are strong enough without him too. We think Tottenham should prevail with a slight margin.
Our pick: TOTTENHAM
BARCELONA – LIVERPOOL
Match days: 1st May and 7th May
Two favorites, but just one will be playing the final in Madrid. Liverpool is battling for the title in Premier League and they cannot rest the players during a weekend. Barcelona is in a much better position in the Primera Division and they already rested Messi before quarterfinals. Barca will do the same, so their star players will be fresher. That can decide the matches. We are going with Barcelona this time.
Our pick: BARCELONA
Who will win Champions League 2018/2019?
Our pick: Manchester City [read all our pre-season 2018/2019 predictions here]
Our pre-season pick was Manchester City and we stuck with it till the final whistle of their quarterfinal match. If we could pick the winner now, we will go with Barcelona.
Note: Difference between the Total Voters count and Sum of votes for teams above is caused by votes for teams who are not already playing quarterfinals.
The Soccer Column is irregular and biased opinion column written by Soccer Guru about everything soccer related.
UEFA Champions League 2018/2019 dates
The draw was held on 15 March 2019
Tottenham – Ajax
Barcelona – Liverpool
First Legs: 30 April/1 May 2019
Second Legs: 7/8 May 2019
Estadio Metropolitano Madrid on 1 June 2019